How did the Delta variant affect children in the US
There were two spikes of admissions in children with
COVID-19 in the US in 2021. One was in January and the second was in
August. The second spike was largely due to the Delta variant. A look at
the admissions in the two peaks gives us some insight into whether the
delta variant causes a more severe disease than the previous variants.
The peak admissions were similar with about
1.4/100000 children and adolescents being admitted in August. This was
5- times higher than the admission rate in June, 2021.Younger children
between 0-4 years required more admissions with an admission rate of
1.9/100000 children. The severity of illness was also not different. In
August, when the delta variant was predominant, 23% of children admitted
required intensive care admission, 10% required ventilation and 2% died.
In the pre delta variant period in January, about 27% required
admission, 6% required ventilation and 1% died.
In the US two-dose vaccine coverage in adults is 53%,
for adolescents 16-17 years it is 46%, and for those between 12-15
years, 37%. Hospitalizations were 10-times higher among the adolescents
who were not vaccinated compared to those who had received both doses.
In summary, it appears the delta variant did not
cause a more severe disease in children and adolescents and the role of
vaccination in children appears significant in reducing severity of
illness.
(www.cdc.gov 10 September, 2021)
How wildfires are contributing to mortality
In the last couple of years, there have been an
unprecedented increase in the number of wildfires from many corners of
the world. These have included Australia-where millions of acres were
burnt down, California-which documented destruction of nearly 3 million
acres, the Amazon rainforest and the Siberian forests. This appears to
be due to the hotter drier climates which are becoming increasingly
common with progressive climate change. Wildfire associated particulate
matter PM 2.5 is considered particularly toxic since they enter the
lungs and translocate through the alveolar epithelium.
An International study in 43 countries looked at the
increase in all-cause mortality due to PM 2.5 released in wildfires.
Overall, 0·62% (95% CI 0·48-0·75) of all-cause deaths, 0·55% (0·43-0·67)
of cardiovascular deaths, and 0·64% (0·50-0·78) of respiratory deaths
were annually attributable to the acute impacts of wildfire-related PM
2·5 exposure during the study period. Another article in the same
journal found that children were more vulnerable to wildfire associated
PM2.5 injury with highest impact in Nigeria, India, Congo, Uganda and
Indonesia.
We live in an interconnected world and climate change
is a huge challenge to world health which needs urgent action.
(Lancet Planetary Health 1 September, 2021).
How does immunity after natural infection compare
with vaccination?
There is a huge global discussion about why someone
who has had the COVID-19 infection needs a vaccine. There is good data
to suggest that immunity after natural COVID-19 infection is robust and
durable. However, the CDC still recommends that all people get
vaccinated as soon as they are eligible citing that immune response was
variable from person to person.
An NIH funded study from La Jolla Institute of
Immunology found a good immune response upto 8 months in 95% of people
who had previous infection with COVID-19. An influential paper in
Science detected that though antibodies reduced over 8 months, memory B
cells increased. Real-world data also suggests that immunity after
natural infection parallels vaccination. Of the 50000 employees of
Cleveland Clinic, infection rates were similar in those who had natural
infection versus vaccine. A population-wide database from Israel also
concluded that there was no difference to the risk of infection in those
vaccinated versus those who had natural infection.
Some countries like Israel have suggested that after
a natural infection one may take a single dose of the mRNA vaccine after
3 months. They are offering the vaccine passport to all those with anti-Covid
antibodies irrespective of whether it is post-infection or vaccine.
It appears paradoxical to assume that someone exposed
to the entire virus would have poorer immune response compared to
someone exposed to just a portion of the spike protein. The decision to
insist on two doses for all seems to be more related to administrative
ease than anything else. The downside of insisting on vaccinating
previously infected persons include a 56% higher rate of adverse effects
post-vaccine, and a possible exhaustion of T cells as suggested by some
researchers.
There is a lot to still understand about the best
vaccine strategy in COVID-19!
(BMJ13 September 2021)