Home            Past Issues            About IP            About IAP           Author Information            Subscription            Advertisement              Search  

   
Research paper

Indian Pediatr 2010;47: 925-929

School Absenteeism Among Children and its Correlates: A Predictive Model for Identifying Absentees


Preena Uppal, Premila Paul and V Sreenivas*

From the Department of Pediatrics, Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi and *Department of Biostatistics,
 AIIMS, New Delhi, India.

Correspondence to : Dr Preena Uppal, C-211, Sarvodya Enclave, New Delhi 110 017, India.
Email:  [email protected]

Received: December 30, 2008;
Initial review: February 4, 2009;
Accepted: October 30, 2009.
Published online 2010 January 15.

 PII:S097475590900142-1
 

Abstract

Objectives: To determine the magnitude of absenteeism and its correlates and to develop a model to predict absenteeism in school children.

Design: A cross-sectional study.

Setting: Three government schools in Delhi.

Participants: 704 students, aged 10 to15 years.

Methods: Students were registered and interviewed using a pre-designed questionnaire. The frequency and causes of school absenteeism were ascertained by school records, leave applications and one month’s recall. The factors were subjected to univariate analysis and a stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis and a predictive model was developed.

Results: The average absenteeism of a student over 6 months was 14.3±10.2 days (95% CI 13.5-15.0). 48% children absented themselves for more than two days per month on an average. The main factors associated with school absenteeism were younger age, male sex, increasing birth order, lower levels of parental education and income, school truancy, school phobia and family reasons. The discriminating ability of the predictive model developed was 92.4%.

Conclusions: It is possible to identify potential absentees in school children.

Key words: Academic performance, Child, India, School absenteeism.


S
chool absenteeism has been studied in detail in relation to various social and physical causes(1,2). School absenteeism
has been linked to maternal education, residence, and specific illnesses like asthma, headache, abdominal pain, etc(3-7). However, role of social pressures like poverty, part-time jobs etc. has not been explored. There is paucity of literature comprehensively assessing the various factors leading to school absenteeism.

We conducted this study to assess the magnitude of school absenteeism and to study its correlates. Identification of social, demographic and medical correlates may help in predicting children at higher risk of absenting themselves and ensuring timely preventive interventions.

Methods

A cross-sectional, school based study was conducted in three government schools in South Delhi. The absenteeism was studied over a 6 month period from July to December 2006. Total of 704 children, of both sexes in the age group 10-15 years were registered in standards 6 to 9, in all the three schools. Each standard had 3 to 5 sections, varying across schools. Of the standards having 3 sections, one section per standard was randomly selected and all students in selected classes were eligible to be enrolled. Where there were more than 3 sections per standard, 2 were chosen randomly. Participants were included following an informed written consent. Repeat visits were undertaken to interview those who were absent at the first visit. Students who contributed only a few school days due to late admission in the current session or who left the school were excluded.

At enrolment, information on socio-demographic profile of the students was collected. It included age, sex, class, education and occupation of the parents, their family structure and income. The socio-economic status was calculated as per the Revised Kuppuswami’s Scale for determining socio-economic status of urban families (2001).

A pre-designed questionnaire was administered to ascertain the duration of absence and the causes for absenteeism, medical and non-medical. Participants were assured of confidentiality and were inquired about school truancy and various phobias of schools, teachers and subjects. The causes of absenteeism were also ascertained by school records, leave applications and one month’s recall by the students. Students, teachers and parents were interviewed whenever needed.

The average absenteeism of more than 2 days per month (i.e. 12 days in the 6 month study period), was defined as significant absenteeism, for the purpose of our study. Despite extensive review of existing literature, there is no consensus on the level of absenteeism which may be regarded as significant. Previous studies have considered absenteeism even when the child was absent on a single day, to define their own criterion for absenteeism(8-10).

Data were analyzed using Stata 9.1 software. The average number of days of absence in the 6 months reference for each child was calculated along with 95% confidence interval. The proportion of significant absentees was determined along with 95% confidence interval. The correlates of significant absenteeism were assessed by calculating the odds ratios. Stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of absenteeism.

Results

A total of 704 students were registered of which 332 (47.16%) were boys. The mean number of days of absenteeism over the 6 month study period was 14.3±10.2 days (95% CI 13.5-15.0). The total number of working days was 140.2±8.6 days over the last 6 months. Hence, the average absenteeism per child was 10.2%. Only 9 children did not miss a single school day. Many had missed 1-6 days (26.6%), 6-12 days (24.4%), 13-18 days (17.1%), 19-24 days (10.2%) or 25+ days (20.4%). 336 (47.8%) children had significant absenteeism.

Table I



Relationship of Sociodemographic Factors with Significant School Absenteeism
Factors Absentees (n=336) Others (n=368)
Sex*
  Male 208 (61.9%) 124 (33.7%)
  Female 128 (38.1%) 244 (66.3%)
Age group(yrs)*

 < 14

250 (74.4%) 191 (51.9%)

 > 14

86 (25.6%) 177 (48.1%)
Standard*

 6

92 (27.4%) 40 (10.9%)

 7

122 (36.3%) 102 (27.7%)

 8

68 (20.2%) 112 (30.4%)

 9

54 (16.1%) 114 (31%)
Birth order*

 1

42 (12.5%) 123 (33.4%)

 2

133 (39.6%) 143 (38.9%)

 3

83 (24.7%) 57 (15.5%)

 4

40 (11.9%) 41 (11.1%)

 5

38 (11.3%) 4 (1.1%)
Religion

 Hindu

288 (85.7%) 330 (89.7%)

 Non Hindu

48 (14.3%) 38 (10.3%)
Mother’s education*

 <5 standard  

180 (53.6%) 97 (26.4%)

 >5 standard  

156 (46.4%) 271 (73.6%)
Father’s education*

<8 standard 

124 (36.9%) 82 (22.3%)

>8 standard 

212 (63.1%) 286 (77.7%)
Residence

City

107 (31.8%) 120 (32.6%)

Urban slum

229 (68.2%) 248 (67.4%)
Occupation*

Unskilled

48 (14.3%) 14(3.8%)

Semi skilled

81 (24.1%) 33 (9%)

Skilled

83 (24.7%) 95 (25.8%)

Clerk/Shop

112 (33.3%) 161(43.8%)

Semi Professional

12 (3.6%) 65 (17.6%)
Family size*

£4

63 (18.8%) 95 (25.8%)

5

80 (23.8%) 147 (39.9%)

6

67 (19.9%) 48 (13%)

7

61 (18.25%) 46 (12.6%)

8

65 (19.3%) 32 (8.7%)
Family income/mo (Rs.)*
   £6,100 78 (23.2%) 6 (1.6%)
   6,101-10,160 92 (27.4%) 5 (1.4%)
   10,161-15,280 104 (30.9%) 11 (3%)
   >15,281 62 (18.5%) 346 (94%)
*P<0.01.

 

Male sex, increasing birth border and family size, lower parental education and income were identified to be associated with significant school absenteeism (Table I). Causes responsible for their school absenteeism, as reported by the students are listed in Table II.

Table II



Causes of School Absenteeism Reported by Students
Cause Absentees Others OR (95% CI) P value 
n = 336 n = 368
Part-time job 72 (21.4%) 0 (0%) <0.001
Illness 182 (54.2%) 187 (50.8%) 1.14 (0.85-1.54)   0.37
Chronic illness 51 (15.2%) 14 (3.8%) 4.52 (2.45-8.34) <0.001
Perception of ill health 150 (44.64%) 129 (35.1%) 1.49 (1.10-2.02) <0.001
Family function 162 (48.2%) 115 (31.2%) 2.05 (1.51-2.78) <0.001
Family illness 103 (30.6%) 62 (16.85%) 2.2 (1.52-3.12) <0.001
Family problem 141(42%) 36 (9.8%) 6.7 (4.44-10.01) <0.001
School phobia 159 (47.32%) 82 (22.3%) 3.13 (2.26-4.34) <0.001
School truancy 59 (17.6%) 2 (0.5%) 39.0 (9.44-160.90) <0.001
School load 167 (49.7%) 121(32.9%) 2.02 (1.49-2.44) <0.001
Tuitions 27 (8%) 0 - <0.001

On stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis, gender, age group ,birth order, parents’ education and income, school phobia, school truancy, school load and absenting for family reasons were found to be independent significant factors responsible for school absenteeism (Table III). Based on these factors, we developed a model to predict absente-eism, taking the sum of the regression coefficients weighed by the code for each predictor. All the variable scores for a particular child were summed up to arrive at a final score.

Table III



Predictive Model Based on Multivariate Regression Analysis
Variable Code Regression OR   95% CI
  coefficient     
Sex -1.40  

Male

0   1.00

Female

1   0.25  (0.15-0.40)  
Family care 1.76  

No

0   1.00

Yes

1   5.81 (3.15-10.73)  
Age group (years) -1.50  

<14

0   1.00

>14

1   0.22 (0.13-0.39)
School phobia 1.17  
   No 0   1.00
   Yes 1   3.22 (1.87-5.54)
School truancy 2.69  

 No

0   1.00
   Yes 1   14.78(2.92-14.85)
Birth order 0.71  
   <3 0   1.00

>3

1   2.02 (1.21-3.38)
Father’s education -0.68  
   <8 standard 0   1.00
   >8 standard 1   0.51(0.29-0.87)
Mother’s education -1.15  
   <5  standard 0   1.00
   >5  standard 1   0.32 (0.19-0.53)
Income (Rs.) -2.58  
   <10,160 0   1.00
   >10,161 1   0.08(0.03-0.16)
Family illness / demise 0.67  

No

0   1.00

Yes

1   1.96 (1.00-3.84)
School load 1.25  

No

0   1.00

Yes

1   3.49(2.10-5.77)

 

The total score generated can range from a minimum of -6.1 to a maximum of + 6.5. A positive score i.e. ³0 indicates that there are 87.7% chances of that child being a significant absentee, whereas a negative score i.e. <0 indicates that there are 79.5% chances of that child being a regular attendee. For this model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to be 92.4% (Fig. 1).

Fig.1. The receiver operating characteristic curve.

We also found that school absenteeism had negative correlation with the academic performance of the students (r = –0.513).

Discussion

The average absenteeism per child in our study is 10.2%. Gender (male sex) age group, birth order, parents’ education and income, school phobia, school truancy, school load and absenting for family reasons were found to be independent significant factors related to increased school absenteeism.

As compared to a study conducted by Awasthi, et al.(8) in 2000-2001 who calculated prevalence as 4.7%, the absenteeism has increased. However in New York(2), percentage of absenteeism varied between 7.3% to 17.8%. The factors found significant in our study are consistent with previous studies linking absenteeism to male gender(8), younger age(11), increasing birth order(12) and lower parental education and income(1,13,2). A different trend was seen in the NCHS study(2) where absenteeism was higher among older students. Ananthakrishnan, et al.(11) found no significant gender difference. The differences may be attributable to different settings of the study. Despite extensive research we could not find a multivariate analysis of the factors of school absenteeism.

We developed the model based on the factors found to be significant. Our prediction models appear to be useful for predicting prospective absentees incorporating relevant risk factors. There are no existing models to predict absenteeism. This model can be applied to all the students in the given setting; however, modification and further evaluation by receiver operating characteristic curve may be required when applied to a different setting(14,15).

Hence, school absenteeism has a high magnitude, with 48% children absenting themselves for more than two days per month. Our model predicts the chances of a particular child to be an absentee. The predictive value of the model is about 92.4% and can be used for timely preventive interventions

Contributors: PP conceptualized and designed the study, interpreted data, revised manuscript and approved the final version to be published. She will act as guarantor of the study. PU acquired the data, drafted the article and helped in final approval of the manuscript. VS analyzed the data, revised contents and helped in final approval.

Funding: None.

Competing interests: None stated.


What is Already Known?

• School absenteeism is associated with asthma, headache, abdominal pain, male sex, younger age , increasing birth order and lower parental education and income.

What This Study Adds?

• This study provides a model to predict absenteeism in school children based on its correlates and also identifies school truancy, school phobia, school load and absenting for family reasons as new independent significant factors associated with school absenteeism in the population studied.
 

References

1. Gupta JP. An exploratory study of absenteeism in a school in a suburban area in New Delhi. Indian J Pediatr 1968; 35: 299-313.

2. Besculides M, Heffernan R, Mostashari F, Weiss D. Evaluation of school absenteeism data for early outbreak detection, New York City. BMC Public Health 2005; 5: 105.

3. Parcel Guy S, Gilman Susan C, Nader Philip R, Harvey B. A comparison of absentee rates of elementary school children with asthma and non asthmatic schoolmates. Pediatrics 1979; 64: 878-881.

4. Millard MW. Children with asthma miss more school: fact or fiction? Chest 2009; 135: 303-306.

5. Breuner CC, Smith MS, Womack WM. Factors related to school absenteeism in adolescents with recurrent headache. Headache 2004; 44: 217-222.

6. Unalp A. Prevalence and characteristics of recurrent headaches in Turkish adolescents. Pediatr Neurol 2006; 34: 110-115.

7. Saps M, Seshadri R, Sztainberg M, Schaffer G, Marshall BM, Di Lorenzo C. A prospective school-based study of abdominal pain and other common somatic complaints in children. J Pediatr 2009; 154: 322-326.

8. Awasthi S, Sharma A. Survey of school health and absenteeism in Lucknow. Indian Pediatr 2004; 41: 518.

9. Hammond B, Ali Y, Fendler E, Dolan M, Donovan S. Effect of hand sanitizer use on elementary school absenteeism. Am J Infect Control 2000; 28: 340-346.

10. Reid K. The self- concept and persistent school absenteeism. Br J Educ Psychol 1982; 52: 179-187.

11. Ananthakrishnan S, Nalini P. School absenteeism in a rural area in Tamil Nadu. Indian Pediatr 2002; 39: 847-850.

12. Kaplan BA, Mascie Taylor CG, Boldsen J. Birth order and health status in a British national sample. J Biosoc Sci 1992; 24: 25-33.

13. Rumberger RW. Dropping out of high school: the influence of race, sex, and family background. Am Educ Res J 1983; 20: 199-220.

14. Shapiro AR. The evaluation of clinical predictions. A method and initial application. N Engl J Med 1977; 296: 1509-1514.

15. Hanley JA. The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 1982; 143: 29-36.
 

 

Copyright© 1999 by the Indian Pediatrics (Disclaimer)