Dr Panna Choudhury has dedicated his President’s Page to advocacy for
preventing cervical cancer(1). He makes a passing reference to the
prohibitive costs of the vaccine but he reiterates the Indian Academy of
Pediatrics (IAP) recommendation to offer HPV vaccine to ‘all appropriate
females who can afford the vaccine’. The vaccine costs Rs 18750 per person
(Conversion rate $1 = Rs 50)(2). According to the article, although there
are no recommendations about the need for booster doses and efficacy for 5
years is all that is known.
The answer to the question of how to decide who can
afford the vaccine is not explicit. For example, can we assume that
parents, who have only one girl child and earn Rs 20,000 per month, will
afford the vaccine? Intuitively one feels that the question of
affordability will relate to costs and benefits, besides earnings every
month. Persons may afford heavy costs if the benefits are commensurate.
We have done a quick calculation of the cost of
preventing cancer by this vaccine. In a recent study from India published
in the NEJM, 31,488 women (30 to 59 years old), were followed up over 8
years with no intervention (in the control group)(3). 64 died of cervical
cancer. The absolute risk of cervical cancer was 2.5/10,000/year. If we
optimistically assume that every case of cervical cancer will be prevented
by the vaccine, the absolute risk reduction is 0.00025 and the numbers
needed to vaccinate to prevent one death is 4000. The cost per life saved
is Rs 75 million. We wonder how many members of the IAP work in areas
where the people can afford this vaccine.
The article suggests that the vaccine should be
introduced to parents as a cervical cancer preventing vaccine and not as a
vaccine against sexually transmitted infections. In this and numerous
other subtle ways, we as doctors and trusted advisors can sell the
vaccine. The question we need to ask is – should we? Individual doctors
will need to wrestle with this, as the IAP has left the choice of whom to
advise, to individual judgment.
References
1. Choudhury P. Preventing cervical cancer:
Pediatrician’s role. Indian Pediatr 2009; 46: 201-203.
2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. HPV
vaccine information for young women. Available from: http://www.cdc.gov/std/hpv/STDFact-HPV-vaccine-young-women.htm#hpvvac4.
Accessed on April 4, 2009.
3. Sankaranarayanan R, Nene BM, Shastri SS, Jayant K,
Muwonge R, Budukh AM, et al. HPV screening for cervical cancer in
rural India. N Engl J Med 2009; 360: 1385-1394.