Girish, et al.(1) have reported that low dose
intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) is as efficacious as high dose IVIG in
reducing the duration of phototherapy in Rh hemolytic disease of the
newborn.
The trial was designed as a superiority trial; however,
the authors have presented the paper as though it was a non-inferiority
equivalence trial. The results show that the duration of phototherapy was
longer in the low dose group (77±57 hrs) compared to the high dose group
(55±49 hrs). That this difference did not achieve statistical significance
only means that superiority of the high dose could not be statistically
demonstrated with the sample size available. It does not mean that the low
dose IVIG is equivalent in efficacy to the high dose and that one can
start using the low dose to reduce the cost of therapy.
Even when viewed through the prism of a superiority
trial, the sample size was inadequate and the study was underpowered. This
is because the actual standard deviation was wider (49 hr) than what the
authors had assumed (24 hr). For a standard deviation of 49 hrs and effect
size of 24 hrs the requisite sample size was approximately 150 (assuming
equal variance), and not 38. There is a distinct possibility that an
adequately powered study would show that the mean difference in
phototherapy duration did achieve statistical significance or was close to
achieving statistical significance–quite the opposite of the authors’
conclusion.
Reference